Greetings everyone! For the time being, the tropical Atlantic is rather quiet, but a developing tropical depression could be our next tropical storm moving into the Gulf Of Mexico over the next few days. If it does develop, Nate would be its name. In other areas across the contiguous USA, drought conditions persist. As usual, there are plenty of other topics to touch on…so let’s get started.
For your consideration, here are this week’s links…
Culling through the daily torrent of news can be overwhelming. If you’re not careful, climate change stories that are riddled with bad science can lead you astray.
Knowing where trash on beaches comes from is a good first start in getting it under control. Here’s a good read on a beach audit that reveals which brands are the worst offenders for plastic waste.
Trash on beaches is one thing…but microplastics in your drinking water is another. Recent studies analyzed 159 water samples from both tap water and bottled water in 14 countries and found that over 80% of all samples contained tiny plastic particles. In the USA alone, 94% of water samples contained plastic. Drink up!
A USA National Park ban on plastic bottles saved up to two million plastic bottles from being used and discarded every year. In spite of protests, the Trump administration revered this ban in August 2017.
Starting on October 2, 2017, the National Weather Service will begin simplifying their winter weather watch/warning information. Check out the video here for further details.
Graphic courtesy NOAA
The latest Drought Monitor is out for the USA. Currently, just under 12% of the USA is experiencing dry or drought conditions.
Graphic courtesy US Drought Monitor
Here’s an interesting, but rather technical, read for those wanting to further their knowledge of the complex world of tropical cyclones.
Could post-Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico be in a post-Hurricane Katrina scenario? Here are six reasons why that could happen.
Photographs that are worth a thousand words. Take a look at these startling images of Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria devastated the island.
Florida, like many hurricane-prone areas of the world, is growing in urban sprawl and population…and that has the makings for a disaster.
The time to discuss climate change and it’s relation to hurricanes of recent years is now. To delay in the name of “recovery” is absurd.
Based on National Weather Service data, September 2017 was the most active Atlantic hurricane season on record. As of 4 October 2017, the current season has been the third most active Atlantic tropical season.
Graphics courtesty National Weather Service
If you’re a RadarScope app user, you may wonder what Vertically Integrated Liquid is all about. Here’s a good explanation on what that important part of radar data is all about.
Finances and politics play a big part in attitudes toward climate science. “Most Americans want their government to do more to address climate change—as long as it doesn’t take a big toll on their pocketbooks, according to a new poll.”
FOOD FOR THOUGHT
The human species is a very quixotic creature. Unfortunately, intelligence and critical thinking are often mutually exclusive. To find evidence of this, one only has to objectively view the variations of human behavior in social media.
That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a warm welcome to my new followers in social media. Glad to have you along for the fun!
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Hurricane Maria has intensified rapidly. In the last 24 hours, Maria has gone from a tropical storm to a very dangerous Category 5 storm. Here are the current updates from the National Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Maria Special Discussion Number 11NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017
This special advisory is being issued to increase the initial and forecast intensity of Maria.
Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Maria continues to rapidly strengthen. The aircraft measured SFMR winds of 139 kt in the northwest eyewall and an estimated minimum pressure of 925 mb, based on dropsonde data.
Based on these observations, the initial intensity of Maria has been increased to 140 kt, making Maria a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Some additional strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours, but fluctuations in intensity are likely due to eyewall cycles and land interaction. No change was made to the previous track forecast, and the extremely dangerous core of Maria is expected to pass over Dominica within the next hour or two.
1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect for many of these islands.
2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous major hurricane, and a hurricane warning has been issued for that island.
3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0000Z 15.3N 61.1W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 19/0600Z 15.7N 61.9W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 19/1800Z 16.5N 63.3W 145 KT 165 MPH
36H 20/0600Z 17.3N 64.7W 140 KT 160 MPH
48H 20/1800Z 18.2N 66.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
72H 21/1800Z 20.0N 69.0W 125 KT 145 MPH
96H 22/1800Z 22.0N 71.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 23/1800Z 25.0N 73.0W 105 KT 120 MPH