Tornado Quest Science Links Review For November 6 – 13, 2017

Greetings to one and all! I’m glad you stopped by and hope the weather is to your liking whether it’s autumn or spring in your location. As of this post, much of North America is relatively quiet with autumn settling in nicely across most of the continent. Fortunately, the Atlantic tropical cyclone season is winding down quickly…and after such a destructive year, that’s very good. Let’s get started on this week’s selection.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

TECHNOLOGY/SOCIAL MEDIA

No, this isn’t “new” news. Yes, we’ve been dealing with it since 2016. But is it any wonder that Instagram and Twitter, having become a morass of shills, hucksters, and “beautiful people” have become very clique-oriented and useless to the average user? This paragraph says it all…

“Remixing the feed will make Instagram less useful as a real-time content feed because the most recent posts won’t necessarily be at the top. Users will have to worry about making their posts good enough to be chosen by the algorithm or their posts could be de-prioritized. And brands might lose the reach of a previously reliable marketing channel, the same way they did with Facebook Pages.” – TechCrunch

All hail the mighty algorithm. If, like me, you wish you understand and then disable the algorithm, you may have to research each individual social media entity (Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, et al.) since there’s no “one size fits all” solution to this challenge.

CITIZEN SCIENCE

Your smart phone is the only tool you’ll need to help this awesome citizen science project that tracks mosquitoes.

GEOLOGICAL SCIENCE

Studying an active volcano is obviously dangerous. Fortunately, this is where a drone can “step” in and help.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

The pollution released by recent wildfires across the USA is making Americans sick and undermining decades of progress in cleaning the air.

Trees are good for the environment in so many different ways…and helping to clean the air we breathe is only one.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

The latest NOAA State Of The Climate report is out with a look at October 2017 in the USA. “October’s nationally averaged temperature was 55.7 degrees F, 1.6 degrees above average, which placed it among the warmest third of the historical record.”

Infographic courtesy NOAA

Unfortunately, recent data shows that carbon emissions worldwide are still on the rise.

In spite of the frequent dour news we hear regarding climate change, there are some bright lights that are worth looking at.

Long-term forecasts such as this are a bit risky, but interesting nonetheless. “Sweden’s Big Cities Predicted To Have Coldest Winter In Five Years.”

PUBLIC POLICY

In spite of “official” stances…”US states, cities and businesses signed up to ‘America’s pledge’ to combat global warming have a combined economic power equal to the world’s third-biggest economy.”

No further comment needed on this. “The Senate Just Approved Trump’s Pic For NASA Chief. You Can Probably Guess What He Thinks About Climate Change.”

The “pushback” from climate change denialists is getting more desperate by the day.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a warm welcome to my new followers in social media. You’ll find links to all our social media below…our Twitter, Tumblr, and Instagram are the most active accounts. We’d be glad to have you along for the fun!

Cheers!

 

Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Media inquiries: tornadoquest@protonmail.ch

Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

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Tornado Quest Science Links Review For October 30 – November 6, 2017

Greetings everyone! There’s plenty of topics to review this week with the biggest story being the latest National Climate Assessment…so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

SCIENCE COMMUNICATION AND SOCIAL MEDIA

Communicating science can be challenging enough but bring trolls into the mix, and you’ve got quite a toxic brew. Fortunately, these nefarious interlopers can be taken down more than a few notches.

Here’s an excellent segment from the 3 November 2017 edition of Science Friday that is a “must-listen” – “Defending Science In A ‘Post-Truth’ Era.”

Convincing the general public that the environment is an important factor in our health, quality of life, economics, et al, is not easy…but some studies are showing hope.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Time for many folks to switch to Standard Time…and while you’re at it, switch to LED light bulbs. I’ve been using them for some time and can’t recommend them highly enough.

Here’s a “head scratcher” read that makes you wonder. “Blocking The Sun”: New Report Documents Efforts To Undermine Rooftop Solar.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

The Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) was released on 3 November 2017. “This report is an authoritative assessment of the science of climate change, with a focus on the United States. It represents the first of two volumes of the Fourth National Climate Assessment, mandated by the Global Change Research Act of 1990.”

This is a nice concise summary of the climate assessment that gives you the most important points.

Nations are urged to step up ambitions to cut emissions as floods, hurricanes, et al. are being linked to climate change.

Here’s a summary from the National Hurricane Center of the very busy 2017 Atlantic hurricane season to date.

The latest NOAA outlook for November shows warmer than usual temperatures for much of the southern contiguous USA and northern Alaska.

Here’s a look at November’s precipitation outlook. Please keep in mind that these are outlooks and not forecasts. Local deviations can and will occur. 

As for drought conditions, much of the USA is in decent shape save for portions of South Dakota and Montana.

COP23 will be taking place in Bonn, Germany on November 6, 2017 for the next round of United Nations climate talks. Here are four signs to watch for that are critical issues.

An Antarctic research station is preparing to close as cracks in the nearby ice shelf are growing. I wouldn’t stay around either.

While ice shelves are developing cracks, global warming is also a significant threat to major cities the world over. Why? Simple. These cities will literally drown.

Could we have a new world record for the lowest recorded barometric (atmospheric) pressure?

Nothing good can come of this. “Understaffed National Weather Service Scales Back Balloon Launches That Collect Vital Forecast Data.”

PUBLIC POLICY

The train wreck continues. “Pruitt Takes Steps To Remove Science From Decisions Affecting The Health Of American Families.”

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a welcome to my new followers in social media. It’s good to have you along for the fun.

Cheers!

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Tornado Quest Science Links Review For October 23 – 30, 2017

Greetings everyone! I hope your autumn is to your liking and for folks in the southern hemisphere, here’s to a bountiful spring season. There are plenty of topics to go over, so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

SOCIAL SCIENCE

Disasters of all kinds force us to reevaluate the importance we place on belongings.

Here’s a fascinating read on climate change and the human mind. If we’re not willing to introspectively examine our feelings on such an important topic, where does that leave us?

News coverage of recent droughts that carried a stern message may be the way to go…it just might help with the water waste issue.

WEATHER SAFETY/EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Forest fires in Brazil and Indonesia contributed to a record loss in global tree cover in 2016, equivalent to the size of New Zealand, that could accelerate deforestation blamed for climate change.

Here’s the recent Lancet report on pollution, premature deaths, and public health.

A very nice summary of the Lancet report can be found here.

St. Louis, Missouri has just taken the bold step of becoming the largest midwestern USA city to commit to clean energy.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

I’ve always been of the opinion that NOAA’s National Weather Service is woefully understaffed, poorly funded, in need of twice as many Doppler radars, three times as many NOAA weather radio transmitter sites, and far better equipment and working conditions. This good read is my chance to say, “I told you so.”

Is there a distinct connection between the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season and climate change? Mounting evidence says there is.

When taking several other variables (and personal opinions) into account, the connection between the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season and climate change becomes far more complex.

Due to a combination of human activities and a strong El Niño, another CO2 record has been set…and what’s especially bad is that this happened at a record speed.

PUBLIC POLICY

The water crisis in Puerto Rico that is taking place in the wake of Hurricane Maria could have been avoided.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to welcome my new followers in social media…it’s great to have you along.

Cheers!

 

Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Media inquiries: tornadoquest@protonmail.ch

Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

Tornado Quest Science Links Review For October 11 – 22, 2017

Greetings everyone! Thanks for stopping by. I hope you’re having good weather wherever you are. Here across much of North America, we’re getting a touch of autumn…some areas are enjoying the spectacular fall foliage, others are still reeling from devastating hurricanes and wildfires. There’s plenty to look over this week, so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

SCIENCE EDUCATION

The US state of New Mexico has reversed course (somewhat) on a recent public education issue with startling changes to proposed science standards. In the 21st century, it’s hard to believe that any of these changes were even proposed.

SOCIAL SCIENCE

One underrated hazard from natural disasters is the prevalence of PTSD which, all too often, can be permanently disabling.

A little social science combined with technology. “Our Toxic Smartphone Addiction.”

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE/RENEWABLE ENERGY

An excellent video summary from the BBC on why the California wildfires are so deadly.

There’s a definite connection between climate change and the California wildfires. Here’s what is know so far.

As of 20 October 2017, California wildfires have caused over one billion US dollars in damages.

This is an excellent perspective on the California wildfires. “Promoting the right kind of fire—and smarter development—is safer and more cost-effective than fighting a losing battle.”

While part of the recent California wildfires can be attributed to climate change and natural causes, humans must be willing to accept responsibility for our part.

Using plastics is almost unavoidable…and can be precarious. Here’s an excellent guide on what kinds of plastics to chose and which ones to avoid altogether.

Why are scientists so bad at recycling? Unfortunately, many laboratory scenarios have certain challenges…but zero waste can be achieved.

In Europe, the 2014 death toll from air pollution is estimated to have been as high as 500,000 early deaths.

The potential for wind energy worldwide is immense…and now’s the time to start harnessing this renewable source of clean energy.

A small town in the very Red state of Texas is the perfect example of what an American eco-friendly city of the future looks like.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season has been remarkable. 2017 became the first year in more than a century and only the fourth on record with 10 consecutive Atlantic storms reached hurricane strength.

Read how and why Ophelia was the strongest storm to hit Ireland in almost half a century.

An interesting read from Climate Central on the effect climate change is having on fall foliage.

The watch and waiting game for La Niña continues. “The October ENSO forecast says La Niña conditions are favored during the fall and winter 2017-18, but at press time the ocean-atmosphere system didn’t quite meet the criteria for a La Niña Advisory.”

Here’s a look at this week’s USA Drought Monitor. Here’s a detailed region-by-region look at current drought conditions.

The road to recovery for Puerto Rico in the wake of Hurricane Maria is going to be a long one that will take years.

PUBLIC POLICY

No words to describe this continuation of the train wreck. “In announcing his abandonment of the Clean Power Plan, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt boasted, “The war on coal is over.” That means the war on children has begun.”

Here’s another “head scratcher” that isn’t really surprising. The USA’s Environmental Protection Agency has scrubbed their website of references to ‘climate change.’

This is an interestingly disconcerting development. “Trump Pics Weather Company Chief to Lead NOAA.”


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Tornado Quest Science Links In Review For October 4 – 11, 2017

Greetings everyone! I hope the weather is to your liking wherever you are. This has been another wild week across North America. As Hurricane Nate made landfall on the Gulf Coast, devastating wildfires in the western USA destroyed thousands of structures. Just for good measure, we’ve had a few episodes of severe weather in the Great Plains as well. There are plenty of other topics, including Earth Science Week, so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

GENERAL SCIENCE/SCIENCE EDUCATION/CITIZEN SCIENCE

Earth Science Week is in progress! This year’s Earth Science Week is from October 8-14, 2017 and has the theme “Earth and Human Activity.”

The free mPING app is a great way for you to send a wide variety of weather information to the National Severe Storms Laboratory. Your report helps with weather research!

SOCIAL SCIENCE

After a natural disaster, dealing with the physical and psychological fatigue and PTSD can be overwhelming. Rest assured, if you’ve ever endured that, you’re not alone.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Here’s a good read on the daunting challenges that exist with recycling and dealing with litter.

Kicking our addiction to plastic is a crucial environmental issue. Up to one-third of all plastic packaging produced winds up in the oceans of our planet.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

Here’s the latest State Of The Climate report for January to September 2017 from NOAA. Among the findings…every state across the contiguous USA had above average temperatures for the first nine months of 2017.

Graphics courtesy NOAA

Recent temperatures have been sweltering in Australia. And yes, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) links it to climate change. Here is the full 29 page (PDF file) report from the Australia BoM.

Graphic courtesy Australia BoM

September 2017 was a very active time for the Atlantic hurricane season. “The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) for September 2017 set a new record for any month over the North Atlantic basin.”

With climate change comes many facets of our atmosphere that will be quite different from the past. One of those will be air travel.

Many people in countries other than the USA take climate change very seriously. Why do Americans have such a cavalier attitude towards such a critical crisis?

Not all Americans take a careless attitude towards climate change. The US Defense Department takes it very, very seriously.

Interesting read on climate change and it’s connection to the recent and ongoing North American wildfires. “Droughts And Wildfires: How Global Warming Is Drying Up The North American Monsoon.”

The time for discussions regarding hurricanes and their effects on populated areas is now. “In A Time Of Hurricanes, We Must Talk About Environmental Conservation.”

Speaking of hurricanes, one of the USA’s most vulnerable cities, New Orleans, has a disastrous history of dealing with the inevitable flooding that so often comes with tropical cyclones.

The builders of this house say it can withstand a powerful tornado or hurricane. The real proof would be if one were actually exposed to EF-5 winds and the heavy debris field that would accompany such a tornado as it moved through a densely populated area.

While not all are weather-related, many of these amazing images are related to the changes of the seasons and the arrival of autumn in the Northern Hemisphere.

PUBLIC POLICY

A major setback for the USA’s environmental policy. “EPA Announces Repeal Of Major Obama-Era Carbon Emissions Rule.”

THE AFTERMATH

Consider this is only one batch. Ripe with floodwaters (and accompanying bacteria, mold, etc.) from Hurricane Harvey…a bevy of vehicles stored in Texas. There are at least two more with just as many vehicles that were flooded.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to welcome my new followers in social media. I’m glad you’re along for the fun. We live in very interesting times and I’m glad we’re going through this together.

Cheers!

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Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

Tornado Quest Science Links Review For September 26 – October 4, 2017

Greetings everyone! For the time being, the tropical Atlantic is rather quiet, but a developing tropical depression could be our next tropical storm moving into the Gulf Of Mexico over the next few days. If it does develop, Nate would be its name. In other areas across the contiguous USA, drought conditions persist. As usual, there are plenty of other topics to touch on…so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

MEDIA/SCIENCE COMMUNICATION

Culling through the daily torrent of news can be overwhelming. If you’re not careful, climate change stories that are riddled with bad science can lead you astray.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Knowing where trash on beaches comes from is a good first start in getting it under control. Here’s a good read on a beach audit that reveals which brands are the worst offenders for plastic waste.

Trash on beaches is one thing…but microplastics in your drinking water is another. Recent studies analyzed 159 water samples from both tap water and bottled water in 14 countries and found that over 80% of all samples contained tiny plastic particles. In the USA alone, 94% of water samples contained plastic. Drink up!

A USA National Park ban on plastic bottles saved up to two million plastic bottles from being used and discarded every year. In spite of protests, the Trump administration revered this ban in August 2017.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

Starting on October 2, 2017, the National Weather Service will begin simplifying their winter weather watch/warning information. Check out the video here for further details.

Graphic courtesy NOAA

The latest Drought Monitor is out for the USA. Currently, just under 12% of the USA is experiencing dry or drought conditions.

Graphic courtesy US Drought Monitor

Here’s an interesting, but rather technical, read for those wanting to further their knowledge of the complex world of tropical cyclones.

Could post-Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico be in a post-Hurricane Katrina scenario? Here are six reasons why that could happen.

Photographs that are worth a thousand words. Take a look at these startling images of Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria devastated the island.

Florida, like many hurricane-prone areas of the world, is growing in urban sprawl and population…and that has the makings for a disaster.

The time to discuss climate change and it’s relation to hurricanes of recent years is now. To delay in the name of “recovery” is absurd.

Based on National Weather Service data, September 2017 was the most active Atlantic hurricane season on record. As of 4 October 2017, the current season has been the third most active Atlantic tropical season.

Graphics courtesty National Weather Service

If you’re a RadarScope app user, you may wonder what Vertically Integrated Liquid is all about. Here’s a good explanation on what that important part of radar data is all about.

PUBLIC POLICY

Finances and politics play a big part in attitudes toward climate science. “Most Americans want their government to do more to address climate change—as long as it doesn’t take a big toll on their pocketbooks, according to a new poll.”

FOOD FOR THOUGHT

The human species is a very quixotic creature. Unfortunately, intelligence and critical thinking are often mutually exclusive. To find evidence of this, one only has to objectively view the variations of human behavior in social media.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a warm welcome to my new followers in social media. Glad to have you along for the fun!

Cheers!


Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Media inquiries: tornadoquest@protonmail.ch

Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

Tornado Quest Science Links Review For September 19 – 26, 2017

Greetings everyone! I hope the weather is to your liking wherever you are. We’ve just had the autumnal equinox in the Northern Hemisphere and for some folks, a chill is in the air and foliage is changing to the traditional autumn colors. South of the equator, spring is in the air as their season begins to warm. The big weather story as of late has been the hurricane activity in the Atlantic…we’ll touch on that and a few other topics…so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

PALEONTOLOGY/EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

A surprising read for my fellow dinosaur enthusiasts. “Plant-eating dinosaurs usually found plenty to eat, but occasionally they went looking for a nutritional boost.”

GEOLOGICAL SCIENCE

Unlike hurricanes, winter storms, or severe convective weather events, there is no reliable or easy way to predict a significant earthquake.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE/RENEWABLE ENERGY

Hurricanes often bring about or exacerbate bad environmental issues. Hurricane Maria and its effects on Puerto Rico are a good example.

In spite of many naysayers, clean energy is one way to circumnavigate aging and poorly maintained energy infrastructures in the wake of many natural disasters.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

The weather forecasting done today is more accurate than ever but by some accounts, the public takes issue with that.

If you live in the USA and love summer, you’re probably enjoying the longer hot spells. Be warned, the details will prove that longer summers aren’t good.

Has the Atlantic hurricane season been active? Yes. Is it the worst hurricane season ever? Hardly. Not even close.

The recovery from Hurricane Maria will take months in Puerto Rico…which has not experienced a major hurricane for almost ninety years.

The current, and long-lasting, effects from Hurricane Maria can best be described as a humanitarian emergency for Puerto Rico.

Very well said in regards to Hurricane Maria. “To deny climate change is to procrastinate while the earth sinks; it is to deny a truth we have just lived.”

Here’s an exceptionally shocking collection of photos from Puerto Rico that will give you an idea of just how bad the current crisis is.

From Carbon Brief…Factcheck: Climate Models Have Not “Exaggerated” Global Warming.

Truth stranger than fiction. The USA’s EPA has tapped the Heartland Institute for “non-alarmist” climate “experts” for various purposes…similar to having the fox guard the henhouse.

PUBLIC POLICY

The train wreck continues. The unfortunate part is many folks on all points of the political spectrum have sincere and honest environmental concerns. “GOP Runs Roughshod Over Democratic, Environmental Safeguards.”

The current EPA’s Clean Power Plan is due for drastic changes…and nothing good can come of this.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a warm welcome to my new followers in social media. I’m glad you’re along for the fun!

Cheers!

————————————————————————————-

Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Media inquiries: tornadoquest@protonmail.ch

Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

Tornado Quest Science Links Review For September 12 – 20, 2017

Greetings everyone. Running a day late due to recovery from a medical procedure and keeping tabs on two very potent hurricanes…hence the short post for this week. Obviously, the big stories this week are the tropical cyclones in the Atlantic and the central Mexican earthquake which (as of this post) has killed over 200 people. Tropical cyclones Jose and Maria have been front and center in terms of weather. We’re still in the “peak” of the Atlantic hurricane season, so there are potentially several active weeks ahead. Having said that, let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

TECHNOLOGY/SOCIAL MEDIA

This is an interesting, and disconcerting, read on where a surveyed segment of society gets their news online. Unfortunately, Twitter, which is more up-to-the-minute and accurate, isn’t at the top.

ASTRONOMICAL SCIENCE

The Cassini spacecraft will soon have its swan song with a spectacular plunge into Saturn’s atmosphere.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Many areas in and around Houston, TX that were flooded by Hurricane Harvey have an extra hazard to the aftermath…toxic chemicals in the flood waters.

Hurricane Irma left behind an environmental and public health hazard that has a level of disgust all its own.

The recent wildfires in the western USA presented another hazard to those in their paths or downwind from the fires…smoke that can cause serious health problems.

Plastic fibers have been found in water samples from around the world. If that sounds bad, just wait until you find out what it can do to your body when you drink it.

Our changing climate is inevitably going to change our diets.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

The latest information on Hurricane Maria and Tropical Storm Jose can be found at the National Hurricane Center’s website.

Here’s the latest State Of The Climate report. “The globally averaged temperature over land and ocean surfaces for August 2017 was the third highest for the month of August in the NOAA global temperature dataset record, which dates back to 1880.”

Graphic courtesy NOAA

This week’s Drought Monitor shows a sustained drought maintaining its hold from the north central plains to the Pacific northwest.

Graphic courtesy US Drought Monitor

The long-term view of climate change is of the utmost importance. Future generations depend on it.

NOAA’s latest La Niña outlook is out.  “There is an increasing chance (~55-60%) of   during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18.” By some accounts, the southern half of the contiguous USA will be warmer than usual. It’s also important to keep in mind that this is only an outlook and NOT a forecast.

Here’s a spot-on read by Eric Holthaus. “Harvey, Irma, Maria: This Is The Hurricane Season Scientists Expected…And Feared. ”

Why don’t more broadcast meteorologists convey information and/or educational information to their viewers regarding climate change? “Part of the problem is that while TV meteorologists may not be climate-change deniers, too many are climate-change ignorers.” It may not be the broadcast meteorologists that have a say in this…but the corporate media powers-that-be.

The social and psychological effects of tropical cyclones (and other significant weather events) always give a sobering reminder of the power of nature.

An excellent post by meteorologist Dan Satterfield. “You And Your Congressman REALLY Need To Read This.”

Severe weather phobias are very real and, for countless people, a major source of stress and anxiety that takes a significant toll on their quality of life.

THE QUIXOTIC

Maybe it was a slow news day. “Newsweek Gives Cato Institute Climate Denier A Platform.”

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to extend a welcome to my new followers in social media. I’m glad you’re along for the fun!

Cheers!


Tornado Quest on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tornadoquest

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Copyright © 1998 – 2017 Tornado Quest, LLC

Atlantic Hurricane Maria Reaches Category 5 Status: Update (7:58 pm CDT) 18 September 2017

Hurricane Maria has intensified rapidly. In the last 24 hours, Maria has gone from a tropical storm to a very dangerous Category 5 storm. Here are the current updates from the National Hurricane Center. 

Hurricane Maria Special Discussion Number 11NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017

800 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

This special advisory is being issued to increase the initial and forecast intensity of Maria.

Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Maria continues to rapidly strengthen. The aircraft measured SFMR winds of 139 kt in the northwest eyewall and an estimated minimum pressure of 925 mb, based on dropsonde data.

Based on these observations, the initial intensity of Maria has been increased to 140 kt, making Maria a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Some additional strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours, but fluctuations in intensity are likely due to eyewall cycles and land interaction. No change was made to the previous track forecast, and the extremely dangerous core of Maria is expected to pass over Dominica within the next hour or two.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect for many of these islands.

2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous major hurricane, and a hurricane warning has been issued for that island.

3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.

4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0000Z 15.3N 61.1W 140 KT 160 MPH

 12H 19/0600Z 15.7N 61.9W 145 KT 165 MPH

 24H 19/1800Z 16.5N 63.3W 145 KT 165 MPH

 36H 20/0600Z 17.3N 64.7W 140 KT 160 MPH

 48H 20/1800Z 18.2N 66.2W 130 KT 150 MPH

 72H 21/1800Z 20.0N 69.0W 125 KT 145 MPH

 96H 22/1800Z 22.0N 71.5W 120 KT 140 MPH

120H 23/1800Z 25.0N 73.0W 105 KT 120 MPH

Forecaster Brown

A recent satellite image shows Maria has unusually good symmetry in its structure which indicates a very powerful and well organized storm. 


For the latest updates on Hurricane Maria, follow the National Hurricane Center online and on Twitter

Tornado Quest Science Links Review For September 5 – 12, 2017

Greetings everyone! It’s been a wild weather week across the USA. This week’s post will be very, very short, but I hope to have everything back up to speed very soon after my surgery.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

The environmental impacts from a hurricane such as Harvey are substantial. We’re just beginning to understand the short and long-term ramifications.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

Being a part of the hurricane hunters may sound glamorous, but it’s a hazardous and strenuous task.

Hurricane Irma was bad enough, but it easily could have been much worse.

An important read that is an unavoidable topic…and if there was ever a time when it needs to be discussed, that time is now. “What We Know About The Climate Change-Hurricane Connection.”

Last but not least, an excellent Hurricane Safety resource page.

See you good people next time!

Cheers!

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