Monthly Archives: September, 2010

Igor & Marriage

I did get a kick out of this post…and I think there’s a lot of truth to what it says. People rarely realize that marriage is nothing more than a legally binding contract…and there are severe penalties for breaching that contract (especially for men)…and it has nothing to do with “love” or “romance” in spite of what so many want to believe.

On a different note…Hurricane Igor has gone from a Cat 1 to Cat 4 in just a few hours…

WTNT41 KNHC 121823
TCDAT1
HURRICANE IGOR SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
130 PM AST SUN SEP 12 2010

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE UW-CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
INDICATE THAT IGOR HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND IS NOW A
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. THE VISIBLE AND BD-CURVE INFRARED
ENHANCEMENT PICTURES REVEAL A CLEAR 20 NMI DIAMETER EYE WITH A
SURROUNDING INTENSE INNER CORE RING OF -80 DEGREE CELSIUS CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN MODIFIED TO
INDICATE SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND
THEN SHOWS A SLIGHT DECREASE AT DAYS 4 AND 5. ALSO…FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH DUE TO EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES ARE POSSIBLE…BUT
THERE IS LITTLE SKILL IN FORECASTING THE TIMING OF THESE CYCLES.

THE WIND RADII FORECAST HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST REMAINS
UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/1830Z 17.7N 46.1W 115 KT
12HR VT 13/0000Z 17.8N 47.5W 125 KT
24HR VT 13/1200Z 18.0N 49.8W 125 KT
36HR VT 14/0000Z 18.4N 51.8W 125 KT
48HR VT 14/1200Z 19.0N 53.6W 130 KT
72HR VT 15/1200Z 20.7N 56.7W 130 KT
96HR VT 16/1200Z 22.6N 59.6W 125 KT
120HR VT 17/1200Z 24.5N 62.5W 125 KT

Of course, I realize along with any other rational person that these are satellite estimates since there are no reconnaissance missions flying directly into Igor until he crosses 55W, but it’s still amazing to watch a storm intensify so rapidly. So, in spite of the naysayers, I’m going to have fun with the satellite estimates. It’s the only thing I’ve got to be excited about today anyway.

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