Tag Archives: Climate Prediction Center

Tornado Quest Science Week In Review For February 25 – March 4, 2017

Greetings everyone and Happy Meteorological Spring to my friends and followers in the Northern Hemisphere. For many, it’s been an exceptionally warm winter and spring is already throttling up. In the USA, Skywarn spotter classes are ongoing as of this post. Check with your local National Weather Service office to see if there’s a class scheduled near you. And, as has been the case for the last few weeks, science and public policy have been front and center…so let’s get started.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE/RENEWABLES

Wind and solar power are gaining major ground in countries across the globe. Considering that change is often difficult, how will the status quo adapt?

Cities around the globe smarten up & go green as 2/3 of world population will live in urban areas by 2030.

Air pollution isn’t just a minor irritation, it’s a major health hazard with lethal implications. Here’s an excellent read on how to deal with and/or avoid potentially deadly poor air quality.

Before the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was formed in the USA, environmental conditions were in a sorry state. It would behoove us to keep that in mind and fight against the threat of retrograding into a new dark age.

While on the topic of air pollution, other countries besides the USA have their share of air quality issues. The problem for USA citizens is their noxious air travels round the globe and eventually reaches us.

Here’s another sobering look at environmental conditions in the USA in the pre-EPA days.

GEOLOGICAL SCIENCE

A new earthquake outlook for 2017 highlights Oklahoma and California as the hot-spots for quake activity…so we’ve been warned.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

If it seems like spring has come early this year for much of the Northern Hemisphere, you’re not imagining things.

The new GOES-16 weather satellite is sending back amazing high-resolution images!

For the Northern Hemisphere, the first day of meteorological spring occurred on 1 March 2017. Here’s a look back at an unusually warm winter from Climate Central.

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Sea surface temperatures and weather/climate are inextricably linked. From the National Weather Service in New Orleans, LA, “The Gulf has remained warm this winter, generally 2-7F above avg now. Pic from the NOAA View Global Data Explorer.”

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For the state of California, it was famine to feast in terms of rainfall. Here’s a look at the “atmospheric rivers” that kept the state dry, then inundated it with dangerous flooding conditions.

Speaking of drought, here’s the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for March, 2017. In spite of recent rains, drought conditions persist or increase across many areas of the plains and southern states.

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Though the focus of this article is on the recent heat wave in parts of Australia, it applies to other continents as well. “Climate Scientists Say Likelihood Of Extreme Summers Surging Due To Global Warming.”

What do citizens of the USA think about climate change? This interesting read provides some maps and links to answer that question.

screen-shot-2017-03-01-at-1_22_48-pmPercentage of adults, by state, who think global warming is happening. Yale Program on Climate Change Communication | George Mason Center for Climate Change Communication

An Argentine research base near the northern tip of the Antarctic peninsula has set a heat record at a balmy 63.5° Fahrenheit (17.5 degrees Celsius) according to the World Meteorological Organization.

Severe Weather Safety Link Of The Week: With the severe weather season well underway across the USA, here’s a very comprehensive yet concise overview of severe weather and it’s hazards from the National Weather Service. “Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, And Lightning. Natures Most Violent Storms.” (20 page PDF file)

SCIENCE AND PUBLIC POLICY

NOAA is about to take a bit hit from the Trump administration, specifically their satellite division. This is ugly…and it will only get worse. Nefariously draconian comes to mind (considering that much of the life-saving data you benefit from comes from the portion of NOAA that’s under the gun), but that would be to politely generous.

Four Ways NOAA Benefits Your Life Today.” This is a “must-read” by Dr. Marshall Shepherd on the irreplaceable benefits that NOAA and the National Weather Service provide to USA citizens.

Do scientists really lose credibility when they become political? Absolutely not. We need all the scientists involved in the current political climate as possible.

Fighting fire with fire is the only way to deal with the building hostilities toward the scientific community.

Things are bad indeed. “Responding to attacks on scientific expertise and threats to public funding, the growing protest of American scientists might also suggest something about the perceived direness of the state of the world under Trump: If the scientists are organizing, then things must be really bad.”

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has stopped collecting important climate and environmental data. No data = no science = no progress.

TECHNOLOGY/SOCIAL MEDIA

A Norwegian news site is on to an excellent way to deal with trolls and/or people who have a “knee-jerk” reaction to a headline and leave hostile and threatening comments. Make them read and article or essay and answer questions about it before they’re allowed to comment. There’s nothing like a little mature, critical thinking to take the place of sophomoric rants.

This disconcerting privacy read will make you think twice about carrying a mobile device in and out of the USA. In case you’re wondering, your Fourth and Fifth Amendment rights don’t apply.

Your privacy in the safety of your own home is also a hazard. Chances are, you are your own worst security risk.

That’s a wrap for this post! I’d like to send out a warm welcome to my new followers in social media. We’re in interesting times…so hang on…lots more fun to come.

Cheers!

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Tornado Quest Science Links And More For Nov. 16 – 23, 2014

The big weather news this week has been the lake effect snowfall that brought an astounding amount of snow to parts of New York state. This is definitely one for the record books. Even though some portions of North America are accustomed to several feet of snow per year, this event caught many folks by surprise. This is a good reminder to make sure your winter weather emergency kit is in order. You don’t have to live in the “snow belt” to need one. Many ice storms in the southern plains in the last ten years have left impacts that bordered on a humanitarian crisis.

For your consideration, here are this week’s links…

CITIZEN SCIENCE

An interesting new trend in China. Citizens using social media to report air quality.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE/SUSTAINABILITY

I’d love to see more of these. “TreeHouse is like Home Depot with a green conscience.”

Could the USA get ten percent of its energy from solar power by 2030? It’s certainly a worthy goal.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

Here’s just a small sample of some amazing images of the recent lake effect snows.

The latest winter weather outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is out for December-February. Please note this is an outlook and not a forecast.

According to information from NOAA, our humble planet is on track to have 2014 as the warmest year on record.

Very interesting read: “Debunked Conspiracy Climategate Five Years Later.”

A long-read that’s worth the time. “Climate change is not just about science – it’s about the future we want to create.”

More research is needed (that’s the nature of science anyway), but there’s a growing body of evidence that our winter weather events and climate change are connected.

When was the last time you looked at the clouds? Here’s a good listen that puts a sound argument for staring at something other than our smartphones.

And that’s a wrap for this week…stay warm folks!

Cheers!

Dont Put That Winter Coat Away. @NWSCPC Outlooks Show Cold Hanging On

Most everyone across the contiguous 48 states has had their fill of winter (including yours truly) but don’t let this weeks respite from below zero wind chills fool you. The latest temperature probability outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) hint at below average temperatures for Feb. 25 – March 1 and Feb. 27 – March 5 across much of the eastern half of the lower 48. On the other hand, Alaska and much of the western states will be above normal. As for precipitation, the probability outlooks hint at some relief for drought ravaged parts of California for Feb. 25 – March 1 and Feb. 27 – March 5 while much of the upper Midwest will be below average. I enjoy sharing the CPC products with my followers because it can be useful information. Keep in mind that these products are not specific forecasts but probability outlooks based on a myriad of information sources from current computer model forecasts, statistics, seasonal averages, past weather patterns, etc. Nevertheless, CPC data can be very helpful in a myriad of scenarios.

Have a great week everyone…cheers!

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